The White House published product lists on September 27 under what it calls the “30-for-30” framework, recommending reduced tariff treatment on roughly $30 billion of imports in each direction. The US list runs 77 tariff lines covering household products, textiles, appliances, toys, and sports equipment. China's list runs 1,619.

You can check your catalog against it today. You cannot yet put a new rate into a customs entry, because implementation requires each country's domestic legal process.

What the $30 Billion Tariff Figure Actually Measures

That number describes covered trade volume using 2024 values, not the duties importers will save.

China's Ministry of Commerce said roughly 90% of covered products will move to most favored nation rates, but neither government published individual rate reductions. Beijing confirmed both countries will implement cuts simultaneously after completing their respective legal procedures.

Keep today's payable duties in your base case. Add a relief scenario only after identifying a plausible match, and label it as unconfirmed. Do not reduce a supplier deposit, retail price, or cash reserve using a rate nobody has published.

Why HTS Code Alone Won't Tell You If You Qualify

The four-page US import list contains 77 numbered entries, including certain plastic kitchenware, electric blankets, coffee makers, toasters, flashlights, playing cards, and holiday decorations.

Several entries cover only part of a classification. The toy entry under 95030000 excludes products enabled with radio frequency, Wi-Fi, Ethernet, or Bluetooth. Other entries narrow furniture classifications to specified children's products.

That distinction separates two products that look nearly identical in search results. A conventional toy and a connected version should not get the same treatment in your forecast.

Build a worksheet with your SKU, current classification, country of origin, product description, relevant list entry, and supporting specifications. Flag partial matches for your customs broker. A supplier calling something a toy does not establish eligibility.

Do not change a classification to fit the list. Have your broker assess the product as manufactured, including materials, functions, and connectivity.

How to Calculate Potential Duty Savings Per Unit

Calculate any duty change against the applicable customs value, then compare against contribution per unit.

Take a product with a $10 customs value where a future rule cuts the duty burden by five percentage points. That is 50 cents per unit, or $5,000 across 10,000 eligible units.

Those inputs are hypothetical. If the product contributes $4 after variable costs, keeping the full saving moves contribution to $4.50. Passing it to customers produces a different result after marketplace fees.

The same discipline applies here that applied to Canada's counter-tariffs: use the customs value recorded for the import, not a rate multiplied against your storefront price.

Separate newly imported stock from inventory already in a warehouse. A prospective reduction does not create a refund entitlement for earlier entries.

Should You Delay Shipments Waiting for Relief?

Potential relief creates an obvious temptation to hold shipments and hope they enter at a lower rate.

That gets expensive if the effective date slips or your product falls outside the final terms. Final product-level rates remain unpublished, and Washington describes the lists as recommendations rather than commitments.

Compare any expected saving against the contribution at risk from a stockout, extra origin storage, and changed freight bookings. Ask your broker which event controls eligibility under the eventual implementing measure.

What to Do Before Implementation

Produce a clean list of potentially affected SKUs and shipments. Assign one person to monitor official implementation and keep a dated record of broker advice.

When implementing rules arrive, verify the final product scope, applicable rate, effective date, required entry treatment, and interaction with other duties before updating your landed-cost system.